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With three days to go, a new poll gives John Tory a decisive lead

By Steve Kupferman
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With three days to go, a new poll gives John Tory a decisive lead

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This Ipsos Reid poll, conducted on behalf of Global News, is an important one. Not only does it come just three days before the municipal election, but it also generally agrees with the most recent Forum Research poll. So, that’s two polls from two different pollsters, conducted within days of each other and showing pretty much the same result: John Tory a dozen or so points ahead of Doug Ford, and Olivia Chow still trailing behind. This poll differs from the Forum poll in a few ways, though: it was conducted over a number of days, rather than just one, and it included both phone and online responses, whereas Forum election polls always rely on robocalls. Also, Global doesn’t say whether or not these results are among decided voters only. If they are, then everyone’s percentages are likely slightly higher than they would otherwise be. Regardless, the trend is clear: Tory is looking strong.

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