Minority Report

There were no brownouts in August. In fact, to John Tory’s misfortune, we’ve had a remarkably mild summer, with most nights pleasantly cool. With no outward and visible signs of utter mismanagement by the McGuinty Liberals, recent polls are inconclusive at best. Some claim a minority of some sort, while internal Liberal polls show them in the 40% range, which is near majority territory. Today’s Star lists 15 key ridings, but far more than 15 ridings need to swing to produce a minority for any party. For Tory, just like the mayoral election in 2003, it will all come down to the last three weeks of the campaign. Back then, if he’d had an extra week to campaign, he’d have won. Let’s see if he gets the timing right this time.